UF
OCTAGONX
Fight Prediction Engine
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📅 Date
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📊 Books
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US sportsbooks
🔄 Last Refresh
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Auto-updates hourly
🥊 Bouts
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on this card
Avg Confidence
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Value Plays
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Heavy Favs
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Methodology

How the model picks winners

Odds are pulled live from sportsbooks via The Odds API and cached in your browser for two hours. Covers UFC, PFL, Bellator-style events, and other major MMA promotions. For each fight, the consensus price across all available books is de-vigged to produce a true market probability. The model picks the consensus favorite as predicted winner and flags fights where the best available price is meaningfully better than the consensus as potential value plays.

Consensus Probability
Average de-vigged probability across all available US sportsbooks.
Best Book Edge
Difference between the best available price and the consensus.
Confidence
Higher when books agree closely; lower when prices vary widely.
Odds via The Odds API • Auto-updates for every upcoming MMA card
For informational purposes only • Not betting advice • Bet responsibly
SETTINGS
Higher = fewer API requests. 120 (2 hrs) is recommended.
🔒 API key protected. Odds are fetched via a Cloudflare Worker. Your API key is stored on Cloudflare's servers and is never visible to website visitors.
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